分享论文: Demographics and the evolution of global imbalances (Journal of Monetary Economics, Michael Sposi. 2022)
分享人:张甜甜(金融学院,2022级博士生)
时间:2024年09月28日(周六),下午15:00-17:00
地点:学术会堂712
主持人:王忏(金融学院),赵军柱(创新发展学院中国经济与管理研究院)
论文摘要:
The age distribution influences capital flows through aggregate saving and labor supply. To quantify this, I build a dynamic model featuring overlapping generations and international trade among 28 countries since 1970. The equilibrium is replicated by a model with a representative household in each country that experiences an endogenous discount factor, which summarizes the co-evolution of demographics and relevant prices, affording computation of the exact transition. On average, a one-year increase a countrys mean age boosts its current account by 0.4 percent of GDP. Bilateral trade frictions dictate the cross-country response of capital flows to changes in a countrys demographics.
活动对象:创新发展学院、金融学院学生
人数规模:30人
主办单位:创新发展学院中国经济与管理研究院、金融学院联合主办